Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.356792 0.420923 0.491532 0.574806 0.670079 0.775421 0.900445
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.253625 0.336791 0.437749 0.568274 0.731387 0.927239 1.178800
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.193753 0.285151 0.405765 0.574123 0.800175 1.089980 1.485826
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.151598 0.244683 0.376940 0.574217 0.855724 1.236837 1.784251
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.116098 0.204558 0.339258 0.552818 0.874771 1.332247 2.018915
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.098997 0.188133 0.332112 0.572349 0.951292 1.511334 2.382189
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.084628 0.172773 0.323242 0.586422 1.019010 1.681327 2.744103
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.076790 0.167003 0.328614 0.622989 1.124104 1.914493 3.216478
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.064561 0.150349 0.312183 0.619889 1.163225 2.046983 3.542485
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053838 0.134240 0.293856 0.610302 1.189128 2.158645 3.841580
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.045436 0.121059 0.278729 0.603962 1.218857 2.277250 4.158104
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.039959 0.113131 0.272613 0.613470 1.277063 2.446961 4.568997
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034728 0.104789 0.264697 0.619153 1.330094 2.614124 4.991521
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029974 0.096506 0.255582 0.621231 1.376496 2.773222 5.411450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026422 0.090486 0.250512 0.631000 1.438518 2.964569 5.899976
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022889 0.083581 0.242159 0.632399 1.483562 3.127330 6.346901
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018692 0.073487 0.224168 0.609594 1.476231 3.190441 6.615383
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017113 0.071100 0.225293 0.631034 1.563738 3.440770 7.244887
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015457 0.067997 0.223988 0.646421 1.639342 3.672399 7.851687
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014853 0.068388 0.232281 0.686233 1.771906 4.024880 8.707360
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012862 0.063142 0.223798 0.682871 1.807242 4.183631 9.196895
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010949 0.057527 0.213157 0.672446 1.825183 4.307460 9.624099
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009407 0.052830 0.204344 0.665549 1.850356 4.447203 10.089246